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Crypto whales: who are they and how do they influence the market?
April 26, 2024
5 minutes

The cryptocurrency market operates by its own rules: sometimes, events occur here that can instantly change the fate of whole projects. Rapid price surges and painful crashes of digital coins are often linked to the activities of mysterious forces - the so-called "crypto whales."


But who are these mysterious "creatures"? Where do they come from and how do they influence price trends? Many market participants are trying to understand these questions. Understanding the behavior of whales allows traders and investors to better navigate the cryptocurrency sphere.


In this article, we will explore the phenomenon of crypto whales and the characteristic features of these influential forces, as well as find out how to track their movements in the market.


Who are Crypto Whales?

Who are these enigmatic crypto whales, capable of causing powerful price waves in the digital asset market with their actions?


Whales are large holders of cryptocurrencies. They can be individual investors, companies, or funds. The distinguishing feature of whales is the colossal capital accumulated in various coins.


However, determining whether a particular participant is a whale can only be done considering the specifics of a particular cryptocurrency. The concept of a "large holder" is a relative indicator.


For example, an investor with assets of $2 million in a cryptocurrency with a market capitalization of $100 million would be considered a whale. After all, they control a significant share of the total volume of this digital currency in circulation. Their transactions can significantly impact its price.


But the same two million in a coin with a capitalization of 30 billion dollars is just a drop in the ocean. Such a holder cannot have a significant impact on the market. Therefore, they are unlikely to be classified as crypto whales for that particular coin.


As you can see, determining who is a whale and who is not can only be done considering the specific cryptocurrency and the capital invested in it. But one thing is certain: whales play a key role in the world of digital money thanks to their ability to "move" the prices of crypto assets.


How to Spot Crypto Whales?

Identifying the presence and tracking the activity of crypto whales is a challenging yet achievable task. Holders of significant amounts of digital assets often try to conceal their actions, making it difficult to recognize the "traces" of their activity. However, there are effective ways to pinpoint whales.


First and foremost, pay attention to large volumes of crypto transactions on the blockchain. Sudden movements of substantial sums between addresses with a high probability indicate whale activity. Special services like Etherscan and Blockchain.com can be used to monitor large transfers.


Furthermore, many influential crypto investors periodically share their forecasts and plans on social media. Valuable information is often shared by anonymous crypto figures with a large following on Twitter. By studying their posts, important signals regarding whales' future actions can be found.


There are also more technical methods of detecting whales. One of the most effective is the NVT ratio indicator developed by CryptoQuant. It allows for assessing the level of speculative coin accumulation by large players based on price dynamics and transaction volume.


Another technique analysts use is address clustering. This involves grouping different wallets belonging to the same holder into "clusters." This helps determine the true scale of a whale's capital and its key addresses.


Simultaneously, conducting a detailed fundamental and technical analysis of the digital asset itself is necessary. Whale accumulation of large coin batches can signal upcoming positive news or preparation for an important project event. Conversely, sudden sell-offs may foreshadow a price crash.


Should You Trust Crypto Whales?

The question of whether to trust the behavior of crypto whales is quite ambiguous. On one hand, monitoring their activity can provide valuable market information. However, excessive reliance on signals from whales carries significant risks.


Undoubtedly, tracking the large-scale operations of major holders allows for a better understanding of market sentiments and expectations. Mass coin accumulation by whales usually serves as a bullish signal, while their sales signal bearish trends. Recognizing these trends in time can help profit from upcoming price dynamics.


Furthermore, the actions of whales are often linked to insider information about important news or events in the life of a particular project.


At the same time, relying solely on the behavior of crypto whales in trading would be extremely reckless. Often these players resort to market manipulations, trying to profit at the expense of other users. Therefore, their transactions should be treated with utmost caution.


It is also important to consider information asymmetry: whales often possess information not available to the wider circle of traders. As a result, the latter can easily fall into traps and become victims of artificially created pumps and dumps.


Another important nuance is that whale behavior can be spontaneous and irrational. Therefore, blindly copying their actions without independent meticulous analysis can lead to errors.


In the end, information about whale activity is just one of many signals in the cryptocurrency market. Ignoring it is not advisable, just as relying solely on it is not recommended. Traders should consider all available data as a whole and use common sense when making trading decisions.


Final Thoughts

Analyzing the presence and activity of crypto-whales can significantly help a trader in making investment decisions. However, effective monitoring of their investments requires a comprehensive approach.


Firstly, it is important to use specialized tools to track large transfers, movement of funds between wallets, address clustering, and more.


Secondly, it is essential to regularly review public statements and comments from prominent whales on social networks and specialized media.


Thirdly, a constant fundamental analysis of the crypto projects themselves in terms of upcoming key events — from hard forks to new listings — is necessary.


And finally, do not forget about comprehensive technical analysis: it will help assess the degree of coin accumulation by major players.


It is important to remember that information about whale activity is just one of many factors in the crypto market. Therefore, traders need to independently evaluate and diligently cross-check any signals, combining various analysis methods.

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